Investors are waiting in line for the opportunity to buy REO packages they can fix up to sell or rent out…but…Fannie Mae says there are no plans to offer them to these investors.  Put in the hands of investors, to sell or rent out, leads to more jobs.  Isn’t that a good idea?  Homes priced where first time buyers can get in a home, not a worthwhile idea?

And BOFA, with Buffet’s $5 billion infusion, after the enormous bank bail out…what are they up to?  Oh, payback for all the help?  Cutting 30,000 jobs…that’s the pay back?  You OK with that?

And Barney and the boys want to make the banks more accountable, offering them more ‘Regs’ that slow the whole process down and increase the cost to do business, screwing up the economy more yet…what the hay?  Barney wanted to “roll the dice a little longer,” back in 2003.  Apparently, the Fed and other powers did too?  A 30 page paper written by analyst, Josh Rosner, after his research of nearly a decade and after he read the study by Graham Fisher & Co., pointed out that the reckless underwriting at that time, would lead to a catastrophe of enormous proportion in the years ahead.  He wrote that this would lead to run-away prices in the housing market that would then lead to negative equity, most folks would not be able to withstand.  Did Barney and his cohorts take heed?  How about Fannie Mae, did anyone there take this seriously?  Well, at least one person read it.  But, then, she made an angry call to Graham Fisher & Company, harping that they were messed up and that they should have called her at Fannie (she is Jayne Shontell, and was head of investor relations at Fannie), before it got around.  She’s probably since then, made an apology call to them and commended them on their insight?  Yeah, right!

Care to know more? Read pages 219 - 237 of “Reckless Endangerment,” in fact, read the whole book, you’ll be glad you did!  Get the names of many of the other “Playa’s,” Playa’s that played with our money, not theirs, Playa;s that made big time money in the game, and it was a game!

I just read in the WSJ, that 500,000 foreclosures are sitting on the bank’s books now…and…it’s estimated that 4 to 5 million home owners are now more than 90 days delinquent.  What’s your best guess…how many of these home owners will pull it out, survive this financial dilemma? My best guess is 5% to 10%.  Ask any bank auditor what they think.

Have they learned from past mistakes?  FHA will now go as high as 52% for the debt to income ratio, used to underwrite a mortgage, provided, the applicant has good credit. You OK with that?  Let’s look at a scenario.  Take a couple with two kids, making a combined income of $75k/yr.  52% of that = $39k/yr.  But that’s on gross wages.  If they pay just 10% for Fed and State income taxes, they have $5,625/mo, less $2,925/mo for their mortgage payment and all other debt = $2,700 left over for all other living costs.  If their health and life Ins. is no more than $1k/mo, utilities no more than $200/mo, food for four no more than $800/mo (USDA moderate budget), $125/mo for auto Ins., they still have $575/mo left for; auto and home upkeep, clothes, school supplies and or tuition, entertainment, savings, vacation, emergencies…get the picture?

So, the game is still on…what were they thinking then, what are they thinking now?

There is some good news though; if you can buy real estate now, there is a huge inventory of “Super Deals” out there today, and will be for years to come.

What do you think?  We’d love to hear from you.

Ed

So much has been written about the housing market problem; who’s to blame, why’d it happen, on and on.  What we haven’t seen much of is the fact that during the “bubble,” mtge lenders were allowing a buyer to have a 61% debt to income ratio.  All their debts, added to the new mtge they were contemplating (mtge payment, interest, taxes and insurance), could be 61% of their gross income.

So, take a family of four, one spouse earning $15k and the other $45k, buying a home with a 61% ratio.

Total income is $60k, and with the new mtge, they have $36,600 of annual debt.  Well, they still have $23,400 left, right?  Oh no, the 61% is of gross income.  If they were lucky enough to have to pay only 10% of the gross income for Fed and State taxes ($6,000), that still leaves them with $17,400, or $1,450 per month, for everything else they need.

Let’s help them budget?  I mean, if the lender felt this approach was OK, who are we to question?

We need money for: utilities, trash service, hlth/life/auto insurance, food, clothes, school supplies, vacation and entertainment (?) and for emergencies.

Let’s use a conservative amount for all the insurance needed…say $650 per month, and use a utility number of $150 per month.  OK, we’ve still got $650 left for the rest of our budget.  Let ‘r snap, c’mon you financial guru’s out there, budget up now!

What you didn’t know is that the couple had a few grand in the bank, a little cushion, in case things got tight.  They have this money because they were provided with a “nothing down” mtge.  They were even allowed to roll the closing costs into the mtge.  No skin in the game here…just monthly mtge payments.

How’s the budget coming?  Did you have to pull out vacation and entertainment money?  Is there enough left after that?

Let’s take this family out a few years and see how they’re doing.  Whoops, the $15k earner lost their job.  Monthly income is now only $1,087 vs the $1,450 they had three yrs ago.  And geez, the savings are depleted as well.

So, the brain jobs that set this program up, the lenders, what did they do wrong?  I mean, let’s just go with basic math, let’s not bother the Actuaries, let’s go back to 6th grade math and try it again.

Today, as in the years before the “bubble,” the ratio used is 31% of gross income.  Whew, they’re on the right track now, ‘eh?  What a joke!  Unfortuneately, the joke is on “Joe the plumber.”  The lenders received bail out money for the errors they made.  Should they have? 

All these homes, homes that have 100% mortgages on them, homes that the buyers can’t pay for, or, realize their home is worth less than it was in 2000, all these (26%) of all US homes, what does it all mean…where and when will it all shake out?

Do you wonder how the banks represent these underwater monuments on their balance sheets?  Would their stock go right down the drain if they held them on their balance sheets at actual value?

I mean…if the bank holds a $600k mtge on a home that is now listed as a short sale, at $200k, is that what’s on the balance sheet?  Or, is it still there at $600k?  How about it bankers, send us the answer.

Well, there is some really good news to go with all this; if you can buy real estate now, you chance to be one of those people who can one day say: “I made my money in real estate!”  The bargains are super!  We’ve been putting our buyers into homes at huge savings.  Just got a single mom into a T/H that sold for over $200k a few yrs ago, for $105k.  A home that had  $925k against it just sold for $510k.  Another that has $4.5m against it, looks like it will get sold for $1.7m; the list goes on.

Today, as I write this post, in the four counties comprising the core Twin City area, there are 1,188 homes for sale for less than $100k, and 3,326 homes for sale in the $101k to $200k range.  If you can buy now, do it!  Rates are so low, we may not see anything like this again…ever.  Buy now and you’ll have bragging rights in 7 to 10 years.

And, if you’re one of the unfortunate home owners who have to sell, give us a call so we can tell you how a “Short Sale,” may help you…or…how to sell and get your equity out.

Do you have an opinion or story to share?  Please do, we love to hear from you even if your opinions differ from ours.

Ed

Tell me what you know about the housing market…are things getting better? Worse? The same?  If you don’t know, who does? 

We read about Fannie and Freddie coming to the rescue but we’re still rescuing both of them…with Freddie asking for another $10.6 billion the other day.  Sure Freddie, no problem, where should we send the check…and…let us know when you need some more.  We’ll be sending a check to Fannie too.

Perhaps you’ve read some of what I’ve been reading lately…that over 4.6 million homeowners are more than 60 days behind on their mtges.  Oh no, wait, another source says the number is over 6 million.  Maybe it’s worse than we’ve been told…think?  Most of these mortgages are backed by these two giant bunglers…what does that mean…we’ll need to write more checks?  But hey, I’m running short myself…are you?

And get this, in July, a new program will be kicked off by these two - to help homeowners who have to give up their homes in a short-sale, come back to the table in two years and buy again.  Huh…What?  Is anyone checking the checkbook?

Funny story in MoneyNews.com…a big guy at JP Morgan Chase, David Lowman, when at a congressional hearing not long ago, says to the question - who could mortgage borrowers turn to if they felt his bank’s employees were not helping them hold on to their homes - “Come to me!”  Well, 50 borrowers came forward from the audience, at this invitation, presenting him with a document alleging his bank reneged on a pledge to help struggling homeowners.  So what did our hero do?  “He ran like a dog with its tail between its legs,” said Bruce Marks of the Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America (NACA), which helps homeowners avoid foreclosure.  Didja know about this organization?  I didn’t.  If you know someone who should know about them, please pass this along!

Not all banks are equal though and some are loosening up on the lending side.  The majority are still pretty tight though.  The Fed Reserve’s senior loan officer survey recently showed most banks kept credit tight in the first quarter and residential mortgages saw continued tightening in terms.  This according to an article by Sudeep Reddy in the WSJ.

Now you need a minimum credit score of 640 and 5% down for conventional or 3.5% down for FHA mortgage qualification.  Terms are getting tougher so if you’re in the market to buy a home, get busy before terms get even tougher and rates (rates that are still terrific today) go up.  You do know that rates will definitely go up…?

Where the short-sales and foreclosures will take home prices is still a guess but if you’re putting money on it, I’d go with continued price drops and amazing deals for the next 18 months or so.  If you can buy…buy now!

If you need cash to fix up a short-sale or foreclosure purchase, we have sources and programs that you can use to get it done…roofing, siding, windows, floors, even new appliances!  So call us today and we’ll fill you in.  Take advantage of the greatest buyer’s market in the history of Real Estate!

The amount of inventory leading to outstanding deals is enormous. 

We’ll e-mail a list to you today.  Just tell us where and what you’re looking for.

If you need help selling or buying, call us for more info today!

Can’t hurt to talk ‘eh?

Ed

http://www.dailywealth.com/1338/Another-Way-to-Profit-from-the-Coming-Plague-of-Busted-Banks

  So on 4/30/2010 this Birdie flys away and takes with it the $8k/$6.5k tax or cash benefit. 

  You won’t miss it, will you?  Buyers still have time to find the home they want and nail

  down this huge govt. hand out!

We can find the home you want in less than 30 days, so hang with us and we’ll get you there in time.  The housing inventory is exceptional, you name it and it’s out there for you.  Best part is; the deals are unreal and you’ll probably never see it better in your lifetime!  Add to this, the rates that continue, at least for now, at record lows…and…the FHA203k program to help you with the cash you don’t have…to make repairs and improvments.  That means you can get a short-sale or foreclosure property that needs some fixin and appliances - to look like new before you move in!  Seriously, if you can buy, BUY NOW!   http://money.cnn.com/pf/loan_center/index.html

FHA is still at 3.5% down, and up to 6% for closing cost request from sellers.  Rates are still just over the 5% mark but all indications are, we’ll see a serious rate increase starting soon.  Don’t let it happen to you…Buy Now!

Home ownership declined some in 2009.  With some of the older short-sales and REO’s getting sold, we’re hoping for an uptick in the traditional home sales.  While some markets report slight price increases, this may still be a ’skewed’ result due to the lower priced, distressed stuff going away.

Many pundits see the market prices dropping even further due to the expected glut of homes that were held back from short-sales, as the owners tried to qualify for mtge payment reductions and/or, principal reductions.  So few have been able to qualify and of those that have, over 35% are back in the soup within months, failing to carry out the plan.  These homes will show up next.  How many, is anyone’s guess.

Another move by the FED, that will no doubt have a serious affect on the market, is their decision to stop buying mortgage-backed securities.  This could result in rate increases and diminish the ability of buyers to qualify for loans, or, limit their ability to buy the house they want?

We have been helping buyers get outstanding deals and rates throughout this housing mess.  We can help you too.  Give us a call to discuss the possibilities.

If you’re ‘upside down’ in your equity position and wonder whether you should jump on the ‘HAMP’ band wagon, or sell or short sell, give us a call and we’ll fill you in.  There’s a lot to learn and it won’t cost you a dime to get this info.

If you’re interested in selling but question whether this is the time to try, call us…we’ll give you all the market info you need to make a decision that serves your best interest.  No charge here either!

We work with a lot of investors to help them meet their goals, both on the buy and the sell side.  If you’re an investor who could use some help, give us a call…can’t hurt to talk?

 We love to hear from ourt readers.  If you’d like to comment on this or any other post, just click on the headline and a comment box will open for you. 

This mess will end.  Mean time, let’s work together to get you where you want to be!

Our best to all of you!

Ed (651-770-5000)

You’re probably not old enough to have known a better time to be investing in Real Estate.? For Home Sellers, they’ve probably never seen a worse time to be for sale?   It’s not only a “buyer’s market,” its as hot as it can get for Investors!  You make money in Real Estate on the buy! Buy now, don’t wait, let’s look at why.

The bank bail-out deal did not work according to plan.  The banks got to borrow at 1/4% and lend out at 4.75%+.  Who wouldn’t jump on that arrangement!  Trouble is…few loans are being made, except to highly qualified buyers.  Not only are the Banks messing up the housing market, the PMI insurers are fighting with the Banks, refusing to pay according to their original agreements.   In some cases, the PMI Insurers don’t have the reserves they need to pay up. Case in point, a sad story…

I’m helping a young couple try to short-sell their home.  Both have been laid off, she has cancer and couldn’t return to work even if she wanted to.  They have a young son, have moved in to less than desirable quarters but it’s all they can afford,  they are both under 30 years old, they owe $270k on their mortgage and they’re 5 months behind on their payments.

So I get a ridiculous offer…$167k and the buyer wants $10k back for closing costs.  (I really don’t think the bank will get more than $185k for this house.) The bank does an appraisal and turns down the offer.  Not surprising?  Next, I get an offer for $190k and this buyer only wants $6k for closing costs.  The bank will look at it.  Weeks go by and no answer.  I have to work through a couple different Reps at this bank, to get the proposed deal looked at.  Meanwhile, the buyer wants an answer soon - they don’t want to miss out on the second choice.  We get an answer; the bank will go with the deal but the PMI Insurer wants the young couple to sign a $25k promissory note.  I’ve already sent the bank tax records, closed bank account records, a hardship letter, monthly budget and “comps.”  This young couple couldn’t sign a note for $25 bucks, let alone $25k?  The bank won’t allow me to negotiate with the Insurer.  When I informed the prospective buyer’s agent, she came back to us with a $200k offer and I informed the bank.  They said they would take another look.

Several days later, the agent withdrew the offer and I informed the bank that the deal was dead.  Several days  after that, the bank notified me they would accept the offer - they hadn’t even read my e-mail to them from days earlier.  Who’s in charge at this bank?

We now work with an attorney and a staff totally dedicated to doing short-sales.  This strengthens our marketing efforts and reduces the time necessary to get these done.

This whole mess adds value for the Realty Investor. The stumbling and bumbling of these banks has put a huge number of homes in front of Investors that have good financing sources.  If you can close fast and have savvy lenders, you’re in the drivers seat!  What we’re finding though, is that too many Investors are sitting on the fence, hoping for even more price reductions, before they snap the trigger.  More and more realty tracking firms are projecting a slide in prices for up to another 18 months.  There’s more to consider though…an increase in rates is inevitable and those rate increases may eat up the dollars saved on the buy, within a few years.  The time to buy is right now, especially since the banks, Fannie and Freddie are going to make it harder for buyers to get financing.  Look at these guys…struggling with depleted reserves.  Last week, a WSJ article pointed out that these reserves were supposed to be at 2% but were only at less than .6%

Fan/Fred put the ‘touch’ on the FED to the tune of $111 billion so far.  FHA requires lenders to have cash reserves of $250,000.  But now they’re considering to raise this reserve amount to $2.5 million.  You can guess how many Lenders will no longer be offering their services for FHA deals if this goes through.  They’re in trouble folks - and the loan game is going to tighten up like nothing we’ve seen.  The time to buy…if you can…is now!  Rates will go up, they always have.  When this will start is hard to say but when it does, it will be swift and severe!  Don’t get trapped, buy now while there’s plenty of choices and some money still available!

Now, where to go for the deals? We always look at the areas that offer the best potential for rental and resale.  If you’re not working with a proactive, ambitious Realtor that’s taking their time to do previews for you and pulling ‘comps’ to find the very best deals for you, give us a call…we can find you what you want in less than 30 days.  And…December is one of the best months for an Investor to be busy in the market.

But wait, there’s more!  Sound familiar? There really is more though, here’s how we work with you:

We get together to set up a strategy to find you what you want.  We nail down the best areas to search in.  We set you up with a search program that gets all new listings to you, the same day all Realtors get them…you’ll be at the front of the line so you don’t miss anything.

If you’re too busy to see the homes you have the greatest interest in, we’ll preview these for you and give you a report on them.  That will save you time  - we’ll only set up showings for the homes at the top of your list.  Make sense?

Once we find what you want and close on it, you’ll get 25% of the commission paid by the sellers.  This is to compensate you for your work in the search process.

There are over 1,525 homes for sale at prices less than $150k right now, in just 4 counties! Many of these were purchased and renovated or updated within the last few years.  This means you may have only minor items to repair or just cosmetic work to do in order to rent them out or re-sell them.
Time is money…don’t get caught in a rate increase and lose out on some of the hottest deals ever!  We just put a deal together for an Investor at 5.25%.  If that same deal ($150k) was 7%, it would require an additional $170/month.  Get in while you can ‘cash flow!’

Ed