So much has been written about the housing market problem; who’s to blame, why’d it happen, on and on.  What we haven’t seen much of is the fact that during the “bubble,” mtge lenders were allowing a buyer to have a 61% debt to income ratio.  All their debts, added to the new mtge they were contemplating (mtge payment, interest, taxes and insurance), could be 61% of their gross income.

So, take a family of four, one spouse earning $15k and the other $45k, buying a home with a 61% ratio.

Total income is $60k, and with the new mtge, they have $36,600 of annual debt.  Well, they still have $23,400 left, right?  Oh no, the 61% is of gross income.  If they were lucky enough to have to pay only 10% of the gross income for Fed and State taxes ($6,000), that still leaves them with $17,400, or $1,450 per month, for everything else they need.

Let’s help them budget?  I mean, if the lender felt this approach was OK, who are we to question?

We need money for: utilities, trash service, hlth/life/auto insurance, food, clothes, school supplies, vacation and entertainment (?) and for emergencies.

Let’s use a conservative amount for all the insurance needed…say $650 per month, and use a utility number of $150 per month.  OK, we’ve still got $650 left for the rest of our budget.  Let ‘r snap, c’mon you financial guru’s out there, budget up now!

What you didn’t know is that the couple had a few grand in the bank, a little cushion, in case things got tight.  They have this money because they were provided with a “nothing down” mtge.  They were even allowed to roll the closing costs into the mtge.  No skin in the game here…just monthly mtge payments.

How’s the budget coming?  Did you have to pull out vacation and entertainment money?  Is there enough left after that?

Let’s take this family out a few years and see how they’re doing.  Whoops, the $15k earner lost their job.  Monthly income is now only $1,087 vs the $1,450 they had three yrs ago.  And geez, the savings are depleted as well.

So, the brain jobs that set this program up, the lenders, what did they do wrong?  I mean, let’s just go with basic math, let’s not bother the Actuaries, let’s go back to 6th grade math and try it again.

Today, as in the years before the “bubble,” the ratio used is 31% of gross income.  Whew, they’re on the right track now, ‘eh?  What a joke!  Unfortuneately, the joke is on “Joe the plumber.”  The lenders received bail out money for the errors they made.  Should they have? 

All these homes, homes that have 100% mortgages on them, homes that the buyers can’t pay for, or, realize their home is worth less than it was in 2000, all these (26%) of all US homes, what does it all mean…where and when will it all shake out?

Do you wonder how the banks represent these underwater monuments on their balance sheets?  Would their stock go right down the drain if they held them on their balance sheets at actual value?

I mean…if the bank holds a $600k mtge on a home that is now listed as a short sale, at $200k, is that what’s on the balance sheet?  Or, is it still there at $600k?  How about it bankers, send us the answer.

Well, there is some really good news to go with all this; if you can buy real estate now, you chance to be one of those people who can one day say: “I made my money in real estate!”  The bargains are super!  We’ve been putting our buyers into homes at huge savings.  Just got a single mom into a T/H that sold for over $200k a few yrs ago, for $105k.  A home that had  $925k against it just sold for $510k.  Another that has $4.5m against it, looks like it will get sold for $1.7m; the list goes on.

Today, as I write this post, in the four counties comprising the core Twin City area, there are 1,188 homes for sale for less than $100k, and 3,326 homes for sale in the $101k to $200k range.  If you can buy now, do it!  Rates are so low, we may not see anything like this again…ever.  Buy now and you’ll have bragging rights in 7 to 10 years.

And, if you’re one of the unfortunate home owners who have to sell, give us a call so we can tell you how a “Short Sale,” may help you…or…how to sell and get your equity out.

Do you have an opinion or story to share?  Please do, we love to hear from you even if your opinions differ from ours.

Ed

Tell me what you know about the housing market…are things getting better? Worse? The same?  If you don’t know, who does? 

We read about Fannie and Freddie coming to the rescue but we’re still rescuing both of them…with Freddie asking for another $10.6 billion the other day.  Sure Freddie, no problem, where should we send the check…and…let us know when you need some more.  We’ll be sending a check to Fannie too.

Perhaps you’ve read some of what I’ve been reading lately…that over 4.6 million homeowners are more than 60 days behind on their mtges.  Oh no, wait, another source says the number is over 6 million.  Maybe it’s worse than we’ve been told…think?  Most of these mortgages are backed by these two giant bunglers…what does that mean…we’ll need to write more checks?  But hey, I’m running short myself…are you?

And get this, in July, a new program will be kicked off by these two - to help homeowners who have to give up their homes in a short-sale, come back to the table in two years and buy again.  Huh…What?  Is anyone checking the checkbook?

Funny story in MoneyNews.com…a big guy at JP Morgan Chase, David Lowman, when at a congressional hearing not long ago, says to the question - who could mortgage borrowers turn to if they felt his bank’s employees were not helping them hold on to their homes - “Come to me!”  Well, 50 borrowers came forward from the audience, at this invitation, presenting him with a document alleging his bank reneged on a pledge to help struggling homeowners.  So what did our hero do?  “He ran like a dog with its tail between its legs,” said Bruce Marks of the Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America (NACA), which helps homeowners avoid foreclosure.  Didja know about this organization?  I didn’t.  If you know someone who should know about them, please pass this along!

Not all banks are equal though and some are loosening up on the lending side.  The majority are still pretty tight though.  The Fed Reserve’s senior loan officer survey recently showed most banks kept credit tight in the first quarter and residential mortgages saw continued tightening in terms.  This according to an article by Sudeep Reddy in the WSJ.

Now you need a minimum credit score of 640 and 5% down for conventional or 3.5% down for FHA mortgage qualification.  Terms are getting tougher so if you’re in the market to buy a home, get busy before terms get even tougher and rates (rates that are still terrific today) go up.  You do know that rates will definitely go up…?

Where the short-sales and foreclosures will take home prices is still a guess but if you’re putting money on it, I’d go with continued price drops and amazing deals for the next 18 months or so.  If you can buy…buy now!

If you need cash to fix up a short-sale or foreclosure purchase, we have sources and programs that you can use to get it done…roofing, siding, windows, floors, even new appliances!  So call us today and we’ll fill you in.  Take advantage of the greatest buyer’s market in the history of Real Estate!

The amount of inventory leading to outstanding deals is enormous. 

We’ll e-mail a list to you today.  Just tell us where and what you’re looking for.

If you need help selling or buying, call us for more info today!

Can’t hurt to talk ‘eh?

Ed

http://www.dailywealth.com/1338/Another-Way-to-Profit-from-the-Coming-Plague-of-Busted-Banks

Have you ever seen ads for pricing your home…”Free service, just sign up and receive your free home analysis.”  Did you wonder what the catch was…whether you’d really get the free analysis?

Well, most of these sites direct your inquiry to an agent who has purchased a zip code, city or county, as an ‘exclusive’ arrangement for obtaining leads.  That’s right - the e-mail or call you’ll get will be from the agent who made this deal with the site owner.  No problem…if you’re OK with that but if you thought you we’re not going to be on an agent’s radar, not so good?

Most any Broker will give you a “CMA,” (comparative market analysis) for your home.  Some will require you let them visit your home and they’ll come armed with their ’sign here’ listing agreement.  Others will e-mail it to you and follow up to try to get your listing.  Hardly ever will you get an e-mail with the info you requested and no strings attached.  Now the home visit is important as whatever amenities you might have could add to the value…things like granite counter tops, ceramic baths, new appliances, etc.

I remember years ago, working with one of these sites, and the surprise and alarm the homeowners displayed when I called. (A very watered-down description of their reaction.)  I cancelled the service as I felt it violated the homeowner’s goals.

Many of these sites host tutoring seminars aimed at teaching the agents how to sneak up on these unaware home owners.  Clever stuff, this?

Here’s what we do here but before I get to that, here’s what you should know about this game:  Realtors don’t get paid to do these evaluations…unless you’re willing to pay them?  Realtors often do a lot of work for nothing and they, much like yourself, don’t like to work for nothing…right?  Realtors are concerned that they’ll do this work for you and find you’re really not ready to sell but were just curious about what your home might sell for…if you were going to sell it.  Or, they’re concerned that they will give you the data you need and you’ll then call some other Realtor to sell your home.  Could happen, right?  So, what’s the answer, how do you get what you want without paying for it or being hassled to list your home with a Realtor you don’t even know?

Simple solution, call us…no obligation on your part…straight forward honest ‘CMA’ will be done for you.  And, when we visit your home, we do not have anything for you to sign.  You’ll get the info you asked for within 24 hours.  We feel that if we treat people with dignity and respect, providing this service without a ‘hitch,’ when they’re ready to sell they’ll get back to us.  So, fear not, no funny stuff, just good and accurate service you can depend on!

So if you’re considering the sale of your home, check it out ASAP…most industry sources feel that a lot more foreclosures will come in the next few months, putting  additional downward pressure on home prices.  Also, in this part of the country, home sales are the highest between now and July.  Again, check it out…can’t hurt to be informed?

Buyers have only two weeks to identify the home they want and get a purchase offer in place, in order to get the govt. tax break.  Why pass on a $6,500 (buyers who have not bought a home in the last five years) to $8,000 check or tax credit from the govt.?  This is big…get your share.  You have to have a signed deal before the end of this month and a close date by the end of June.  The clock is ticking and we know we can find the home you want within the next two weeks.  Give us a call and take advantage of our ‘cooperative search’ process, whereby you also get extra cash when you close on your new home.

Any stories you care to share with our readers?  We’d love to hear from you.  Just click on the title of this post and a comment box will open.

Ed (651-770-5000)

  So on 4/30/2010 this Birdie flys away and takes with it the $8k/$6.5k tax or cash benefit. 

  You won’t miss it, will you?  Buyers still have time to find the home they want and nail

  down this huge govt. hand out!

We can find the home you want in less than 30 days, so hang with us and we’ll get you there in time.  The housing inventory is exceptional, you name it and it’s out there for you.  Best part is; the deals are unreal and you’ll probably never see it better in your lifetime!  Add to this, the rates that continue, at least for now, at record lows…and…the FHA203k program to help you with the cash you don’t have…to make repairs and improvments.  That means you can get a short-sale or foreclosure property that needs some fixin and appliances - to look like new before you move in!  Seriously, if you can buy, BUY NOW!   http://money.cnn.com/pf/loan_center/index.html

FHA is still at 3.5% down, and up to 6% for closing cost request from sellers.  Rates are still just over the 5% mark but all indications are, we’ll see a serious rate increase starting soon.  Don’t let it happen to you…Buy Now!

Home ownership declined some in 2009.  With some of the older short-sales and REO’s getting sold, we’re hoping for an uptick in the traditional home sales.  While some markets report slight price increases, this may still be a ’skewed’ result due to the lower priced, distressed stuff going away.

Many pundits see the market prices dropping even further due to the expected glut of homes that were held back from short-sales, as the owners tried to qualify for mtge payment reductions and/or, principal reductions.  So few have been able to qualify and of those that have, over 35% are back in the soup within months, failing to carry out the plan.  These homes will show up next.  How many, is anyone’s guess.

Another move by the FED, that will no doubt have a serious affect on the market, is their decision to stop buying mortgage-backed securities.  This could result in rate increases and diminish the ability of buyers to qualify for loans, or, limit their ability to buy the house they want?

We have been helping buyers get outstanding deals and rates throughout this housing mess.  We can help you too.  Give us a call to discuss the possibilities.

If you’re ‘upside down’ in your equity position and wonder whether you should jump on the ‘HAMP’ band wagon, or sell or short sell, give us a call and we’ll fill you in.  There’s a lot to learn and it won’t cost you a dime to get this info.

If you’re interested in selling but question whether this is the time to try, call us…we’ll give you all the market info you need to make a decision that serves your best interest.  No charge here either!

We work with a lot of investors to help them meet their goals, both on the buy and the sell side.  If you’re an investor who could use some help, give us a call…can’t hurt to talk?

 We love to hear from ourt readers.  If you’d like to comment on this or any other post, just click on the headline and a comment box will open for you. 

This mess will end.  Mean time, let’s work together to get you where you want to be!

Our best to all of you!

Ed (651-770-5000)

Well, aren’t you lucky…the FED’s bailout is going to help home owners and sellers in trouble.  Really?  And when will this happen, when?

The driving factor for home sales from 2003 - 2006 was the “0″ down bit, accompanied by the ability for buyers to roll their closing costs back on top of the offer = no money out of pocket to buy = very risky loans.

Fannie and Freddie got hit in a big way and now, the mortgage game has some very serious restrictions, no more “0″ down and nearly impossible to roll closing costs into the loan. (Exception being the FHA’s 6% back from the seller and the  203-k program.)

Then again, FHA (founded in 1934 to provide mortgage insurance for lenders, in case of default), is still offering insured loans with only 3% down.  In fact, in 9/07, they insured $6 billion of these…and…this year, they insured $25 billion of these that’s over 4 x the ‘07 #.   Wonder who’s watchin this store?

As I’m writing this post, I checked the MLS for the T/C “core” counties: Ramsey, Hennepin, Dakota, Anoka, Washington, for the number of homes for sale for: less than $100,000, $100,001 to $200,000,  and for the number of homes for sale built in 2003 or newer.  Absolutely mind boggling!  I’ll give you the numbers a little later in this post.

If your selling and you’re too close to the bone, to pay out 5 -6 or 7% to sell your home, call me right away, I can probably save you from 3% to 5.5%…that means you’ll save thousands of dollars…or…not have to bring money to the table to close?

I’ve recently been able to help two home sellers, pay only $495 to get their homes sold.  If we talk, remind me to tell you how this was done.

So many home owners have learned that they can’t refinance because their homes are worth less than when they bought them.  Those who had ARM’s or % only financing, have seen their payments get jacked up past what they can afford to pay.  If they can’t pay, their options are; short sale or let it go into foreclosure.

The homes that are selling now are those that have maximum exposure, show well, have a minimum of repairs necessary, are priced competitively and offer financing help.  You have to look good and get the maximum exposure you need.  We use one website that gets over 6 million visits monthly and we get your home in over 700 other websites as well.

If you’re having trouble with your mtge., you might want to check out the “Hope Now” program, promoted by Tres. Scty. Henry Paulson.  It began as an effort by housing counseling agencies and mtge. service providers, to modify loans on a voluntary basis.  Home owners in trouble are to call 888-995-hope.  The orginization charges borrowers $300 to get help.  Some banks are willing to add past due payments to the loan and structure a new payment plan to bring the home owner current.  In many cases, the new payment is higher than the old one…hmm, what’s up with that?  I may have it wrong though, so check it out at “Hope Now.”

A source for the forms used for short sales and foreclosures can be found at genworthfinancial.com.  If you’re contemplating either solution, check them out.

We’re spending a great deal of time lately on short sales.  The process is complex and if you don’t send in the total package lenders require, your request will go to the back of the line and you may not get an answer for months.  Call me for the list of what you’ll need to send and I’ll mail it to you, no obligation of course.

In general, we find that 1st. mtge holders want to get at least 90% of what you owe them.  The second mtge holders like to get 10% or more of what you owe them, but will often take as little as $1,000.  EG: a home owner owes a total of $300,000…$240k to the 1st mtge and $60k to the 2nd mtge.  The deal may be accepted for $216k to the 1st and $6k to the 2nd = $222k total.  We’ve seen even lower numbers for a case like this.  The key to success is in the ability of the listing agent to negotiate with the lenders.  I feel I offer seller’s this expertise.  So, if you’re in a jam like this, give me a call…can’t hurt to talk, right? Also, if the pundits who surround you tell you that you’ll have to pay income taxes on the difference, Google up: IRS 982 and study this information.  If you don’t understand, talk with an accountant, your pundits may have it wrong…as usual?

Oh yeah, the numbers for paragraph #5 above: # selling for $100,000 or less in these counties = 1,200

# selling for $100,001 to $200,000 = 4,385

# selling that were built in 2003 or newer = 2,031

If you’re buying, see our “Buyer’s Incentives” above…it could be worth thousands of dollars for you!  Plus, we can really deal for you.  We have all the tools for a  strategic approach; price points, amenities +/-, days on market, etc.  Call me, let me help you get the best deal and give you cash back at the closing for your help in the process.  And, if you have to sell to buy, we need to talk about that as well.  Remember, it’s worth thousands for you!

I’ve talked with a lot of prospective seller’s who have put their plans on hold, after we examined the whole truth about this market.  I’ve also helped many home seller’s in trouble avoid total financial disaster.  What you want to accomplish is the most important element, lets talk about your goals and see if we can come up with a plan that makes sense.  Doesn’t cost a dime to plan, let’s get a plan put together for you.

Give us your story,  tell us about any experience you’re having with today’s topics, or selling or buying real estate.

Ed